Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox 5/10/2013

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The Boston Red Sox are 12-8 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 6-11 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox\' starter Jon Lester is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays\' starter Ramon Ortiz. Jon Lester has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ramon Ortiz has a 26% chance of a QS. If Jon Lester has a quality start the Red Sox has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 75%. In Ramon Ortiz quality starts the Blue Jays win 60%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is David Ortiz who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Edwin Encarnacion who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 44% chance of winning.
Visit AccuScore.com for free detailed ATS and Totals Trends.ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-10, 41% +54 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-12, 40% -387 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-9, 44% +154 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-11, 42% -287
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-8, 53% -60 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 13-7, 65% +180 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-7, 56% +40 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 12-7, 63% +108
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 10-8, 56% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 9-8, 53% + 20
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